Wednesday, October 10, 2007

THE STRATEGY AND TACTICS OF HOLD'EM



This is the subject that for some reason excites everyone.

I know that whenever I tell someone that I am a
party poker player, one of the first questions I get is, "00 you bluff a lot"? Yes I do, but it's not that exciting and it's a common and ordinary occurrence in a low limit Hold' em game.

Bluffing in a limit Hold'em game is usually a simple matter of mathematics coupled with an elementary understanding of how to read tells. Because Hold' em is pretty much an automatic game when it comes to decision making, you will encounter certain situations over and over again in the game.

Bluffing in this game is a matter of mathematics because of the simple concept of pot odds. If there is $80 in the pot on the river and you bet $8 to try to steal that pot when you have nothing, then you are getting 10 to 1 on your money. Therefore, you need at least an 10 to 1 chance of winning the pot at online poker. If you bluff on the end ten times for a total investment of $80, then you need to succeed on the eleventh try in order to win back the money you invested on the other ten times you bluffed and failed.

As you can see, your bluff needs to succeed only a small percentage of the time for you to show a profit at bluffing. As a matter of fact, if you win the pot most of the time that you attempt a bluff, then you are not bluffing often enough.

Here's another way to look at it: Let's say that you just sat down in the game, you flopped an open-end straight draw and neither the turn or river cards helped you. You decide to try a bluff on the river and you bet $8 into an $80 pot, representing a good hand to the other players when in fact all you have is Queen-high. Two other players with better hands than yours fold and you win the pot without having to show your hand. You are now $80 ahead on attempted bluffs, and you've played only one hand.

If you mentally set that $80 aside and use it only for bluff¬ing opportunities, you can see that you can attempt to bluff ten more times, and lose all ten of those hands, and still not be a loser when it comes to bluffing. One success in eleven tries is all it takes to break even, and obviously anything better than one in eleven tries will show a big profit.

If you estimate your chances of succeeding at your bluff attempt to be better than one in eleven, then you will show a huge profit in this situation. Even if you win only two of eleven times you bluff, you will have a positive expectation.

It is wrong to have a policy of never bluffing in Hold' em.

Because of the community card aspect of the game, you will often be in a situation where you have only Ace- or King-high at the river, and your opponent has only a slightly better hand, but it is a hand that he would not call a bet with. If you check, you lose when everyone gets to show their hand without having to call a bet on the river.

There are many times in this game when everyone missed his straight and flush draw and ended up with nothing and all it takes is a bet to win the pot. Of course you'll have to learn from experience when these times are, but they occur so fre¬quently that it is worth your time and effort to recognize bluffing opportunities.

2 comments:

Ray Marshall said...

Nice thoughts on bluffing but i think you should explain more about bluffing in a more technical manner

Anonymous said...

success need what ?